Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Construction Employment Growth
Across Alabama Counties
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of construction employment growth across all of Alabama's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Alabama Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the construction employment growth of Alabama's 67 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Alabama as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual construction employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the construction employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term construction employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.65%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.65% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.65%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 20 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 41 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 28 counties whose most recent (2022) construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.63%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 33 counties whose construction employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.65% over 2010-2022 and 4.63% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.65%) and near-term (4.63%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.65%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Alabama average (4.63%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.65%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.63%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.65%) and near-term (4.63%).
   
 
Summary of Alabama's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.63%)
Above
(4.63%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.65%)
11
9
20
Below
(0.65%)
22
19
41
 
33
28
61
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Alabama counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Alabama's average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.63%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Alabama's 67 counties, just 9 (13%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Alabama counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.65%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.63%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 11 (16%) of Alabama's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
This figure shows the distribution of the 19 Alabama counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.65%), while they outpaced Alabama's average near-term (2022 = 4.63%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Alabama's 67 counties, 28% (19) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2022 = 0.65%
2022 = 4.63%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 22 Alabama counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.63%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
33% of Alabama's counties, 22 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Alabama
Construction Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
19
1.07
 
9
8.49
1,291
 
3
3.44
 
10
8.10
10,831
 
6
2.50
 
2
16.97
1,158
 
14
1.50
 
20
6.00
1,784
 
16
1.45
 
12
7.74
543
 
15
1.49
 
19
6.00
2,879
 
13
1.57
 
23
5.81
3,313
 
8
2.20
 
6
10.72
2,448
 
5
2.62
 
1
28.40
520
Slipping Counties
 
7
2.34
 
50
1.89
1,780
 
12
1.62
 
34
4.22
173
 
18
1.14
 
44
2.88
428
 
20
0.80
 
37
4.19
26,312
 
10
1.70
 
31
4.50
4,965
 
2
4.71
 
57
0.14
4,247
 
9
1.99
 
41
3.85
11,939
 
4
2.83
 
32
4.49
651
 
1
9.50
 
30
4.61
772
 
17
1.25
 
55
0.75
5,892
 
11
1.70
 
40
3.88
9,887
Gaining Counties
 
31
0.06
 
27
5.28
419
 
57
-1.45
 
28
4.76
2,313
 
48
-0.80
 
22
5.88
486
 
23
0.51
 
24
5.79
201
 
49
-0.82
 
13
7.31
279
 
26
0.37
 
26
5.49
3,226
 
42
-0.63
 
16
6.77
1,183
 
60
-1.95
 
5
11.82
227
 
47
-0.79
 
11
7.80
636
 
43
-0.67
 
14
6.97
307
 
35
-0.15
 
15
6.81
1,506
 
21
0.63
 
18
6.33
3,190
 
39
-0.24
 
25
5.61
17,947
 
50
-0.91
 
7
10.64
312
 
25
0.43
 
8
9.04
543
 
36
-0.15
 
3
15.17
1,412
 
22
0.61
 
17
6.34
1,158
 
38
-0.16
 
21
5.98
195
 
34
-0.08
 
29
4.64
586
Lagging Counties
 
54
-1.24
 
61
-1.90
619
 
59
-1.73
 
46
2.86
898
 
52
-1.16
 
53
1.30
937
 
33
0.01
 
63
-4.34
661
 
41
-0.60
 
43
3.62
2,005
 
37
-0.16
 
56
0.74
2,309
 
44
-0.67
 
42
3.79
876
 
51
-1.06
 
47
2.35
2,485
 
32
0.03
 
51
1.66
737
 
29
0.22
 
54
0.96
105
 
56
-1.31
 
45
2.88
3,354
 
40
-0.34
 
36
4.21
272
 
24
0.46
 
49
2.06
2,928
 
28
0.28
 
59
-1.27
935
 
58
-1.70
 
48
2.17
188
 
53
-1.20
 
52
1.30
468
 
45
-0.72
 
35
4.22
6,673
 
55
-1.28
 
58
0.00
97
 
61
-2.51
 
39
3.88
723
 
46
-0.73
 
60
-1.75
112
 
27
0.31
 
33
4.23
6,848
 
30
0.12
 
62
-3.41
1,247
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
38
3.97
471
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
380
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
4
12.80
705
 
U
U
 
S
S
237
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.65
 
4.63
165,585
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.83
 
4.15
11,867,800
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510400_LSGL
 
   
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