Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Alabama Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Alabama's 67 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Alabama Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Alabama's 67 counties over the year (2021) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2021). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
This figure displays the 67 counties of Alabama as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2021), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2021).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.93%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.93% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.93%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 17 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2021, while 50 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 16 counties whose most recent (2021) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.69%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 51 counties whose employment growth over 2021 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 67 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2021) and near-term (2021) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.93% over 2010-2021 and 3.69% over 2021:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the seven counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.93%) and near-term (3.69%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the ten counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.93%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Alabama average (3.69%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the nine counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.93%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.69%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the forty-one counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.93%) and near-term (3.69%).
   
 
Summary of Alabama's 67 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.69%)
Above
(3.69%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.93%)
10
7
17
Below
(0.93%)
41
9
50
 
51
16
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Alabama counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Alabama's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.93%) as well as near-term (2021 = 3.69%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021 as noted in the table below.
Of Alabama's 67 counties, just 7 (10%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 10 Alabama counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.93%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2021 = 3.69%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Only 10 ( 15%) of Alabama's 67 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 Alabama counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.93%), while they outpaced Alabama's average near-term (2021 = 3.69%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Of Alabama's 67 counties, only 13% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Alabama:
2010-2021 = 0.93%
2021 = 3.69%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 41 Alabama counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.93%) as well as near-term (2021 = 3.69%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
61% of Alabama's counties, 41 of 67, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Alabama
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2021
 
2021
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
2.85
 
2
6.56
124,924
 
14
1.07
 
4
5.27
24,129
 
17
0.96
 
6
4.94
6,538
 
2
2.49
 
14
4.27
89,684
 
3
2.44
 
1
6.89
42,103
 
6
1.73
 
7
4.92
283,836
 
4
1.95
 
13
4.27
130,943
Slipping Counties
 
11
1.13
 
24
2.95
7,188
 
12
1.11
 
44
1.93
12,539
 
8
1.44
 
38
2.15
15,204
 
16
0.97
 
23
3.01
43,087
 
10
1.16
 
19
3.16
32,398
 
15
0.99
 
21
3.06
54,060
 
13
1.11
 
27
2.84
21,265
 
5
1.92
 
25
2.94
31,414
 
9
1.23
 
20
3.15
39,102
 
7
1.57
 
29
2.71
129,245
Gaining Counties
 
21
0.88
 
15
3.99
19,358
 
20
0.88
 
10
4.49
8,587
 
50
-0.17
 
5
5.01
4,251
 
47
-0.12
 
11
4.33
5,031
 
23
0.85
 
12
4.32
490,297
 
24
0.82
 
3
5.68
248,596
 
38
0.21
 
8
4.86
6,155
 
19
0.92
 
9
4.76
20,938
 
28
0.61
 
16
3.95
19,060
Lagging Counties
 
64
-0.90
 
62
-0.19
11,618
 
29
0.50
 
53
1.05
15,880
 
35
0.31
 
67
-2.35
4,163
 
34
0.35
 
63
-0.22
9,165
 
58
-0.40
 
35
2.27
58,569
 
40
0.12
 
50
1.34
5,431
 
57
-0.40
 
22
3.05
11,834
 
25
0.77
 
52
1.14
6,230
 
18
0.93
 
43
1.97
32,068
 
46
-0.10
 
30
2.52
5,090
 
56
-0.38
 
32
2.38
2,410
 
51
-0.22
 
33
2.31
17,347
 
53
-0.26
 
66
-2.03
5,507
 
42
0.03
 
36
2.16
27,554
 
65
-1.19
 
31
2.49
16,532
 
32
0.43
 
39
2.15
33,282
 
33
0.41
 
49
1.41
17,643
 
45
-0.09
 
64
-0.43
46,310
 
44
-0.09
 
54
0.81
5,851
 
30
0.48
 
57
0.65
14,934
 
52
-0.26
 
61
-0.07
8,903
 
43
-0.01
 
37
2.15
3,414
 
27
0.63
 
28
2.79
67,081
 
55
-0.34
 
41
2.02
22,365
 
49
-0.16
 
47
1.79
5,223
 
37
0.21
 
34
2.30
44,752
 
62
-0.78
 
42
1.98
9,986
 
66
-1.25
 
58
0.53
3,958
 
67
-1.99
 
45
1.85
7,273
 
36
0.22
 
17
3.56
10,298
 
26
0.69
 
18
3.24
14,483
 
60
-0.46
 
40
2.10
9,544
 
41
0.03
 
26
2.92
173,853
 
22
0.86
 
46
1.85
68,038
 
63
-0.87
 
59
0.45
3,572
 
39
0.20
 
60
0.44
8,051
 
59
-0.45
 
56
0.68
5,061
 
54
-0.26
 
48
1.70
24,915
 
48
-0.13
 
55
0.70
5,773
 
61
-0.52
 
65
-0.96
4,250
 
31
0.47
 
51
1.19
11,321
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.93
 
3.69
2,769,464
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.31
 
3.82
202,752,100
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

Please stay tuned...
while your request is processing:

Please wait while your request is being processed...
To offer the most comprehensive set of interactive options in support of your research, AL-REAP calculates and crunches most of the data and generates the narrative and graphic analysis on demand in response to your request.
Your request will soon be available.
Just a few more seconds....Your request has been generated and is now loading the results.